Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.86 | $0.350 | $2.41 | +$1.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No | sell | 4.83 | $0.450 | $2.17 | Jun 30, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 2.27 |
| $0.440 |
| $2.16 |
| +$1.16 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.97 | +$0.97 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3.34 | $0.299 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 4.84 |
| $0.620 |
| $3 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.963 | $1.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.185 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.810 | $1.06 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.975 | $1.22 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.299 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.100 | $0.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.998 | $1.75 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 4.62 | $0.640 | $2.96 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.956 | $1.38 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.001 | $0 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.027 | $0.08 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.551 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.790 | $1.25 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.416 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.997 | $6.47 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?No | sell | 8 | $0.996 | $7.97 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.54 | $0.200 | $1.31 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.997 | $1.56 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |