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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1 |
| $0.996 |
| $1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 5?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 12?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will any other driver finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 23?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 15?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $288 in November?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.99K | $0.500 | $3.99K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 8K | $0.500 | $4K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.6K | $0.500 | $1.8K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $997.5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 4K | $0.500 | $2K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 4K | $0.500 | $2K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.8K | $0.500 | $2.4K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 3K | $0.500 | $1.5K | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 13, 2025 |