Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 5.05 | $0.670 | $5.05 | +$1.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.720 | $1.45 | Jan 23, 2026 |
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| No |
| 5.05 |
| $0.730 |
| $4.17 |
| +$0.48 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 4.04 | $0.090 | $3.45 | +$3.09 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 2.02 | $0.190 | $1.97 | +$1.59 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 2.02 | $0.140 | $1.55 | +$1.26 |
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.950 | $1.02 | +$0.05 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.959 | $1.02 | +$0.04 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? | No | 1.02 | $0.930 | $1.01 | +$0.06 |
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? | No | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.02 | $0.560 | $1.01 | -$0.13 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | No | 1.02 | $0.850 | $1 | +$0.14 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | +$0 |
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.740 | $1 | +$0.25 |
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.710 | $0.99 | +$0.26 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | Yes | 2.02 | $0.330 | $0.99 | +$0.32 |
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.02 | $0.900 | $0.97 | +$0.06 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? | Yes | 4.04 | $0.205 | $0.97 | +$0.14 |
Will Strava’s market cap be between $10B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | No | 1.02 | $0.977 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.780 | $0.94 | +$0.15 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 1.02 | $0.984 | $0.92 | -$0.09 |
Will Strava’s market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day? | No | 1.02 | $0.910 | $0.92 | -$0.01 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? | No | 1.02 | $0.910 | $0.91 | -$0.02 |
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.780 | $0.91 | +$0.12 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.870 | $0.89 | +$0 |
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? | No | 1.02 | $0.310 | $0.87 | +$0.55 |
| buy |
| 2.02 |
| $0.879 |
| $1.78 |
| Jan 23, 2026 |
BitBoy convicted?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.660 | $1.33 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.120 | $0.24 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.020 | $0.04 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.018 | $0.04 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.059 | $0.12 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.014 | $0.03 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.025 | $0.05 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.012 | $0.02 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.008 | $0.02 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.014 | $0.03 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.014 | $0.03 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.100 | $0.2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.044 | $0.09 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.080 | $0.16 | Jan 23, 2026 |
GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.020 | $0.04 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.520 | $1.05 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.500 | $1.01 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.520 | $1.05 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.390 | $0.79 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.680 | $1.37 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.325 | $0.66 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.436 | $0.88 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.570 | $1.15 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.620 | $1.25 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.741 | $1.5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.722 | $1.46 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.001 | $0 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.750 | $1.52 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.819 | $1.65 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.451 | $0.91 | Jan 23, 2026 |
BitBoy convicted?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.680 | $1.37 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.967 | $1.95 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.120 | $0.24 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.020 | $0.04 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.058 | $0.12 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.014 | $0.03 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.030 | $0.06 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.014 | $0.03 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.029 | $0.06 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.084 | $0.17 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.036 | $0.07 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.214 | $0.22 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Genoa be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.940 | $0.96 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.870 | $0.89 | Jan 22, 2026 |