Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? | No | 22.89 | $0.890 | $18.24 | -$2.14 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six SiegeYes | sell | 15.75 | $0.130 | $2.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 19.85 |
| $0.674 |
| $18.17 |
| +$4.78 |
 Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | No | 20 | $0.909 | $17.8 | -$0.38 |
 Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager? | Yes | 18.63 | $0.800 | $14.25 | -$0.65 |
 Will De'Von Achane have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.670 | $13.9 | +$0.5 |
| Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 41.47 | $0.503 | $13.06 | -$7.79 |
 Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 70 | $0.256 | $10.5 | -$7.4 |
 Linera listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 22.71 | $0.319 | $9.31 | +$2.07 |
 Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? | Yes | 11.15 | $0.773 | $9.03 | +$0.41 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.890 | $7.44 | +$0.77 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 13.43 | $0.400 | $7.32 | +$1.95 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? | No | 10 | $0.650 | $7 | +$0.5 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | No | 11 | $0.201 | $5.63 | +$3.42 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | No | 6.6 | $0.919 | $5.31 | -$0.76 |
 Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.090 | $4.8 | +$1.2 |
 Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | No | 5.17 | $0.780 | $4.73 | +$0.7 |
 GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 26 | $0.430 | $3.51 | -$7.67 |
 Will DeVonta Smith have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 20 | $0.260 | $3.5 | -$1.7 |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? | No | 15.74 | $0.246 | $2.99 | -$0.88 |
 Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 38 | $0.045 | $2.38 | +$0.67 |
| Extended listed on Revolut within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 8.75 | $0.410 | $2.36 | -$1.23 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 9.19 | $0.230 | $2.3 | +$0.18 |
 Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | No | 3.49 | $0.610 | $2.22 | +$0.09 |
 Cambria listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 29 | $0.250 | $2.18 | -$5.08 |
 Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | Yes | 120 | $0.128 | $2.1 | -$13.2 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.090 |
| $1.8 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 25.6 | $0.060 | $1.54 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | sell | 10.38 | $0.230 | $2.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six SiegeYes | sell | 28.25 | $0.140 | $3.96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.78 | $0.760 | $13.51 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six SiegeNo | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.014 | $1.27 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.068 | $1.36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.067 | $2.35 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.162 | $6.48 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.346 | $13.84 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.140 | $12.74 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.165 | $6.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.305 | $12.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.044 | $1.76 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.026 | $1.04 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.020 | $1.02 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.150 | $7.65 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.044 | $1.67 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.045 | $1.71 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.045 | $1.71 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.680 | $34.68 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.290 | $14.79 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.020 | $1.02 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.290 | $14.79 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.680 | $34.68 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.020 | $1.02 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp | buy | 6.32 | $0.190 | $1.2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.130 | $1.95 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.134 | $2.01 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.127 | $2.54 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.091 | $1.82 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.052 | $1.04 | Jul 13, 2026 |