Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84.53 | $0.840 | $79.88 | +$8.88 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 84.52 | $0.930 | $78.6 | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 31.52 |
| $0.880 |
| $30.31 |
| +$2.57 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 21.75 | $0.919 | $20.84 | +$0.84 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.14 | $0.934 | $16.3 | +$0.3 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.75 | $0.821 | $7.56 | -$0.44 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6.1 | +$0.1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.04 | $0.910 | $5.65 | +$0.15 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5.44 | +$0.44 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 5.98 | $0.836 | $4.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 3.29 | $0.913 | $3.14 | +$0.14 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.32 | $0.904 | $3.1 | +$0.1 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 9.09 | $0.550 | $0.62 | -$4.38 |
| sell |
| 35.08 |
| $0.910 |
| $31.92 |
| 16d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.900 | $6.27 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.910 | $5.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.630 | $2.29 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.690 | $2.46 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.995 | $5.23 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | sell | 4.16 | $0.130 | $0.54 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.984 | $5.52 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.77 | $0.981 | $7.63 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.951 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 8.86 | $0.986 | $8.73 | May 20, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.904 | $3 | May 20, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.913 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.877 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.560 | $0.95 | May 8, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.750 | $1.85 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.21 | $0.989 | $5.15 | May 8, 2026 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.960 | $5.51 | May 8, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.600 | $2.18 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.995 | $2.16 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 8.85 | $0.950 | $8.4 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.840 | $3.48 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.72 | $0.780 | $2.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.51 | $0.630 | $2.84 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.962 | $2.09 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.58 | $0.900 | $4.12 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.13 | $0.997 | $10.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.850 | $10.28 | Mar 24, 2026 |