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Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.85 | $0.181 | $28.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 144 |
| $0.174 |
| $25 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 275 | $0.190 | $52.25 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 481.98 | $0.164 | $79.25 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?No | buy | 45.95 | $0.220 | $10.11 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 24.68 | $0.290 | $7.16 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will "Is God Is" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 9.21 | $0.810 | $7.46 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.670 | $5.15 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.004 | $0.52 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will "Is God Is" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.240 | $2.21 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.010 | $0.15 | May 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 420 | $0.999 | $419.58 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.650 | $8.78 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.997 | $199.5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 1, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.590 | $5.36 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 189.99 | $0.001 | $0.19 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.39 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.720 | $3.74 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.06 | $0.950 | $69.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 14?Yes | sell | 508.33 | $0.001 | $0.57 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14?Yes | sell | 5.51 | $0.901 | $4.96 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 14?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.040 | $0.33 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 10?Yes | sell | 64.25 | $0.500 | $32.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.79 | $0.027 | $0.9 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 9?Yes | sell | 40.09 | $0.120 | $4.81 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 9?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 9?Yes | buy | 192.12 | $0.494 | $94.94 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 9?Yes | buy | 24.7 | $0.880 | $21.74 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 8?No | sell | 199.35 | $0.025 | $4.95 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 8?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.720 | $5.13 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 8?No | buy | 26.78 | $0.545 | $14.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 8?No | buy | 9.67 | $0.810 | $7.83 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?Yes | buy | 13.8 | $0.042 | $0.58 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?No | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99.02 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.064 | $13.98 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Yes | sell | 566.7 | $0.032 | $18.21 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.136 | $3.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Yes | buy | 166.7 | $0.090 | $15 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?No | buy | 82.67 | $0.230 | $19 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.976 | $0.11 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 29.47 | $0.960 | $28.29 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.950 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 77.78 | $0.900 | $70 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on March 26?No | buy | 90 | $0.940 | $84.6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?No | buy | 58.69 | $0.500 | $29.35 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Mar 26, 2026 |