Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $2.3 | +$1.3 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.971 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.44 |
| $0.410 |
| $1 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
 Men's Group A - France vs. CzechiaCzechia | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will there be a red flag during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | buy | 11.67 | $0.857 | $10 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Alpine have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No | buy | 21.08 | $0.998 | $21.04 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 10-16?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.994 | $2.77K | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?No | buy | 611.08 | $0.997 | $609.42 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or below on June 12?No | buy | 609.42 | $0.999 | $608.56 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?No | buy | 2.16K | $0.997 | $2.15K | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $5.00-5.25 in May?No | buy | 608.56 | $0.999 | $607.95 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 80°F or higher on June 10?No | buy | 500.5 | $0.999 | $500 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or below on June 10?No | buy | 600.79 | $0.999 | $600 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 8?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.999 | $1.05K | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?Yes | buy | 2.76K | $0.995 | $2.74K | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.475 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 65.43 | $0.870 | $56.92 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 65.44 | $0.890 | $58.24 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.957 | $10 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?Yes | buy | 20.75 | $0.964 | $20 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 17.73 | $0.300 | $5.32 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 43.51 | $0.964 | $41.94 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 South Korean President impeached in 2024?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Dec 8, 2024 |