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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.003 | $1.8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 600 |
| $0.005 |
| $3 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 616.17 | $0.006 | $4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 574.63 | $0.029 | $16.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.540 | $9 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | sell | 58.56 | $0.990 | $57.97 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | buy | 58.56 | $0.512 | $30 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETDown | buy | 12.31 | $0.813 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETDown | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp | buy | 28.15 | $0.178 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 107.62 | $0.929 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?No | buy | 600 | $0.003 | $1.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 575 | $0.004 | $2.3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 130.65 | $0.995 | $130 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?Yes | buy | 130.26 | $0.998 | $130 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No | buy | 127.66 | $0.940 | $120 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.999 | $120.36 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.996 | $120 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 121.21 | $0.990 | $120 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 120.72 | $0.994 | $120 | May 19, 2026 |
 Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5)Sanfrecce Hiroshima | buy | 100.13 | $0.999 | $100 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?No | buy | 101.09 | $0.989 | $100 | May 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 125.75 | $0.994 | $125 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?No | buy | 125.25 | $0.990 | $124 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 124.36 | $0.973 | $121 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 120.85 | $0.993 | $120 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 120.28 | $0.989 | $118.96 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.71 | $0.240 | $0.89 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | buy | 101.75 | $0.980 | $99.71 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 106.92 | $0.990 | $105.85 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 5.49 | $0.160 | $0.88 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 102.77 | $0.969 | $99.55 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.78 | $0.920 | $99.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 1?Yes | buy | 117.58 | $0.830 | $97.55 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.45 | $0.870 | $98.7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp | buy | 100.86 | $0.990 | $99.86 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 114.65 | $0.860 | $98.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 80.34 | $0.141 | $11.33 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.45 | $0.870 | $98.7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.65 | $0.119 | $9.12 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.014 | $1.08 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 101.75 | $0.980 | $99.71 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 10.36 | $0.960 | $9.94 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.6 | $0.938 | $100 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 101.75 | $0.980 | $99.71 | Mar 31, 2026 |