Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 71.26 | $0.421 | $37.41 | +$7.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.018 | $2.7 | Jun 30, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 20.94 |
| $0.928 |
| $20.5 |
| +$1.07 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 20.01 | $0.850 | $20 | +$2.99 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 20 | $0.870 | $18.4 | +$1 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $0.03 | -$4.47 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.020 |
| $3 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 142.06 | $0.901 | $128 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.930 | $105.68 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 39.11 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.031 | $1.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaSabalenka | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.670 | $26.8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Australia" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 39.11 | $0.511 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.770 | $20.26 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Yes | sell | 22.98 | $0.999 | $22.96 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.96 | $0.613 | $30 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.065 | $0.65 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.94 | $0.914 | $10 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.450 | $30 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.943 | $9.43 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.985 | $16.14 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13 | $0.400 | $5.2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.959 | $9.59 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.943 | $9.43 | Sep 26, 2025 |