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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.999 | $21.98 | 2d ago |
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| buy |
| 23 |
| $0.998 |
| $22.95 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?No | buy | 36 | $0.996 | $35.86 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 87 | $0.999 | $86.91 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No | buy | 24 | $0.988 | $23.71 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No | buy | 41 | $0.999 | $40.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?No | buy | 90 | $0.999 | $89.91 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.999 | $69.93 | May 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?No | buy | 36 | $0.998 | $35.93 | May 4, 2026 |
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.550 | $2.57 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?No | buy | 71.2 | $0.998 | $71.06 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.985 | $175.33 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No | buy | 37.63 | $0.999 | $37.59 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 99 | $0.999 | $98.9 | Feb 3, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 57 | $0.998 | $56.89 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 12 above $295?Yes | buy | 33.15 | $0.998 | $33.08 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?Yes | buy | 33.08 | $0.998 | $33.01 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 33.01 | $0.999 | $32.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 9?No | buy | 23.98 | $0.998 | $23.93 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?No | buy | 32.93 | $0.997 | $32.83 | Jan 3, 2026 |
GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 28.25 | $0.999 | $28.22 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 28.23 | $0.998 | $28.17 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?No | buy | 52.37 | $0.993 | $52 | Dec 22, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.994 | $28 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Is Earth flat?No | buy | 32.1 | $0.997 | $32 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of December?Yes | buy | 38.11 | $0.997 | $38 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 31.94 | $0.999 | $31.91 | Dec 22, 2025 |