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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
![]() |
| buy |
| 1.24K |
| $0.260 |
| $323.88 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 331.94 | $0.998 | $331.28 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 331.94 | $0.720 | $239 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 540 | $0.441 | $238.18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.420 | $200 | Jan 25, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 830.3 | $0.330 | $274 | Jan 23, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.170 | $274.56 | Jan 23, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.155 | $250 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.200 | $108 | Jan 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 450.03 | $0.240 | $108.01 | Jan 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 450.04 | $0.220 | $99 | Jan 17, 2026 |