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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.797 | $28.62 | +$4.72 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran leadership change by March 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.780 | $5.46 | Mar 15, 2026 |
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| No |
| 15 |
| $0.840 |
| $13.97 |
| +$1.37 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.760 | $9.55 | +$1.95 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 9.23 | $0.679 | $8.63 | +$2.36 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 8.29 | $0.843 | $7.8 | +$0.81 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7.5 | $0.633 | $6.34 | +$1.59 |
| sell |
| 7.51 |
| $0.750 |
| $5.63 |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.560 | $1.4 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.700 | $5.26 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 9.23 | $0.679 | $6.27 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.881 | $26.43 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.5 | $0.680 | $6.46 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.779 | $23.37 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 12.89 | $0.750 | $9.67 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | sell | 18.48 | $0.442 | $8.17 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 8.48 | $0.589 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.289 | $8.66 | Mar 9, 2026 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.810 | $12.15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | sell | 8.45 | $0.350 | $2.96 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.706 | $7.06 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | sell | 5.75 | $0.350 | $2.01 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.840 | $4.95 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.114 | $1.14 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.999 | $17.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.980 | $7.84 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 0.55 | $0.798 | $0.44 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.850 | $2.04 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.673 | $5.05 | Mar 8, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.599 | $3 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.789 | $5.52 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.555 | $5.55 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.395 | $11.85 | Mar 6, 2026 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.397 | $3.97 | Mar 6, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.018 | $0.45 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | sell | 17.78 | $0.320 | $5.69 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | sell | 13.46 | $0.360 | $4.85 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.888 | $8.89 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | buy | 13.86 | $0.420 | $5.82 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | buy | 18.5 | $0.410 | $7.59 | Mar 4, 2026 |