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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.440 | $4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.92 | $0.150 | $1.34 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 46.3 | $0.054 | $2.5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.016 | $0.24 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.740 | $0.84 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.380 | $5.7 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.035 | $0.9 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.040 | $0.57 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.540 | $1.02 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 17.95 | $0.898 | $16.12 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.100 | $0.33 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.130 | $0.33 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.455 | $0.64 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.050 | $0.63 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.580 | $1.02 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.730 | $0.92 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.640 | $0.76 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.660 | $0.89 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?No | sell | 20 | $0.065 | $1.3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.100 | $0.63 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.330 | $1.69 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.560 | $0.9 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.140 | $1.08 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Obama arrested in 2025?Yes | sell | 105.71 | $0.031 | $3.23 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?Yes | sell | 49.7 | $0.012 | $0.6 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.080 | $0.09 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | sell | 1.45 | $0.720 | $1.04 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.780 | $1.04 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.974 | $1.05 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.530 | $3.44 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.050 | $0.42 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.713 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |