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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.974 | $2.23 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 17.17 |
| $0.981 |
| $16.84 |
| Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 32.29 | $0.984 | $31.77 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 116.38 | $0.290 | $33.75 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 17.17 | $0.955 | $16.4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?No | buy | 18.26 | $0.860 | $15.7 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 32.29 | $0.960 | $31 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No | sell | 15.94 | $0.750 | $11.96 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 AFD deaths foul play confirmed in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.950 | $38 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.819 | $10.63 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.978 | $16.29 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.969 | $26.91 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 116.38 | $0.280 | $32.59 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | sell | 19.64 | $0.959 | $18.83 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 19.64 | $0.560 | $11 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 3?No | buy | 18.64 | $0.590 | $11 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No | buy | 15.94 | $0.690 | $11 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?No | sell | 52.06 | $0.996 | $51.85 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?No | buy | 52.07 | $0.864 | $45 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?No | buy | 13.92 | $0.790 | $11 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.962 | $11 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by July 11?No | buy | 13.75 | $0.800 | $11 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by July 11?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 8-14?No | buy | 15.28 | $0.720 | $11 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.919 | $7 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Pirates vs. BrewersBrewers | buy | 9.52 | $0.630 | $6 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Diamondbacks vs. White SoxDiamondbacks | buy | 7.02 | $0.570 | $4 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.859 | $11 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.929 | $11 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 21.88 | $0.640 | $14 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Diamondbacks vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 10.14 | $0.690 | $7 | May 20, 2025 |
| Rangers vs. YankeesYankees | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | May 20, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | sell | 32.89 | $0.890 | $29.27 | May 20, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.560 | $6 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes | buy | 15.95 | $0.125 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.900 | $5.1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Tiger Woods x Vanessa Trump engaged in 2025?Yes | sell | 51.77 | $0.130 | $6.73 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Michael Saylor say "Bitcoin" 100+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |