Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 125.3 | $0.700 | $26.94 | -$60.77 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 125.3 | $0.700 | $87.71 | 15d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 24.32 |
| $0.370 |
| $3.77 |
| -$5.23 |
| buy |
| 76.92 |
| $0.260 |
| $20 |
| 15d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | sell | 93.38 | $0.676 | $63.09 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?Yes | buy | 93.39 | $0.321 | $30 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 24.32 | $0.370 | $9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.030 | $36.4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.43K | $0.028 | $68 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 169.64 | $0.550 | $93.3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 169.64 | $0.560 | $95 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 79.71 | $0.910 | $72.54 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.022 | $1.83 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 24.55 | $0.110 | $2.7 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 79.71 | $0.690 | $55 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes | buy | 67.27 | $0.297 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Spurs vs. MavericksSpurs | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?No | sell | 41.22 | $0.860 | $35.45 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by October 31?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.140 | $180 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| James Comey arrested by October 31?No | buy | 41.22 | $0.485 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 412.91 | $0.038 | $15.89 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 412.92 | $0.036 | $15 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 115.94 | $0.690 | $80 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.370 | $44.4 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?Yes | buy | 362.54 | $0.193 | $70 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Sep 8, 2025 |