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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 358.21 | $0.279 | $32.24 | -$67.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.11K |
| $0.027 |
| $26.11 |
| -$3.89 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 578.12 | $0.173 | $18.21 | -$81.79 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.250 | $9 | -$41 |
| sell |
| 1.4K |
| $0.218 |
| $305.47 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 533.15 | $0.290 | $154.61 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 289.74 | $0.104 | $30 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Yes | buy | 486.02 | $0.041 | $20 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 857.14 | $0.035 | $30 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.006 | $30 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 344.82 | $0.209 | $72.18 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.131 | $72.51 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 271.39 | $0.237 | $64.28 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 433.77 | $0.231 | $100 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 590.41 | $0.102 | $60 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.027 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 460.83 | $0.217 | $100 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.032 | $100 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.029 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 940.4 | $0.213 | $200 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 358.21 | $0.279 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 160.42 | $0.623 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.370 | $100 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.998 | $1.11K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 54.16 | $0.129 | $7 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.022 | $50 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $100 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 13.44 | $0.570 | $7.66 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 205.49 | $0.243 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 578.12 | $0.173 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.040 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 476.6 | $0.210 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 852.26 | $0.106 | $90.34 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 124.81 | $0.077 | $9.61 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 354.53 | $0.430 | $152.45 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 216.67 | $0.300 | $65 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 112.9 | $0.530 | $59.84 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.400 | $60 | Jun 22, 2025 |