Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.120 | $2.29 | -$2.71 |
 New COVID variant of concern before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 28.99 |
| $0.051 |
| $2.17 |
| +$0.7 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.370 | $1.35 | -$2.35 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.190 | $1 | -$0.9 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 22.23 | $0.090 | $0.98 | -$1.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.65 | -$1.35 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $0.27 | -$1.73 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 1.3 |
| $0.770 |
| $1 |
| May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | May 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 16.33 | $0.061 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 12.69 | $0.079 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 14.23 | $0.070 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.470 | $9.4 | May 10, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.027 | $2.67 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 229 | $0.038 | $8.79 | May 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.580 | $0.63 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.023 | $2.34 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?Yes | buy | 41.4 | $0.030 | $1.23 | May 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.470 | $9.4 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.650 | $1.05 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.75 | $0.840 | $8.19 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 19.93 | $0.680 | $13.55 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp | sell | 13.15 | $0.450 | $5.92 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 11.86 | $0.422 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" in May?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Pope" in May?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Pope" in May?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Prize" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.840 | $2.81 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Prize" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.830 | $2.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "AG" or "Attorney General" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.830 | $1.97 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Trump Derangement Syndrome" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.890 | $2.97 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Trump Derangement Syndrome" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.890 | $1.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |