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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 171.07 | $0.778 | $149.69 | +$16.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.47 | $0.973 | $9.21 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 161.72 |
| $0.190 |
| $11.81 |
| -$18.92 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 183.33 | $0.027 | $4.86 | -$0.09 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 29.08 | $0.398 | $2.62 | -$8.95 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 58.81 | $0.042 | $1.76 | -$0.72 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 507.06 | $0.016 | $0.76 | -$7.32 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 31 | $0.670 | $0.02 | -$20.75 |
| buy |
| 1.08 |
| $0.992 |
| $1.07 |
| Apr 17, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?No | buy | 29.24 | $0.998 | $29.18 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.820 | $1.58 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.410 | $1.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.410 | $2.59 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.410 | $1.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.390 | $6.84 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 6.71 | $0.849 | $5.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 40.15 | $0.953 | $38.26 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 13.1 | $0.971 | $12.72 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.959 | $1.07 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.950 | $1.06 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.958 | $1.63 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.956 | $1.07 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.954 | $1.21 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.931 | $1.07 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 46.94 | $0.948 | $44.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.962 | $1.07 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 39.44 | $0.996 | $39.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.988 | $1.92 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.987 | $1.07 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 9.95 | $0.987 | $9.82 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 26.46 | $0.987 | $26.12 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 41.69 | $0.840 | $35.02 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 6.84 | $0.840 | $5.75 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.845 | $0.29 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.842 | $1.94 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 1.9 | $0.864 | $1.64 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 8.53 | $0.842 | $7.18 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.800 | $2.54 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.790 | $2.9 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.831 | $5.07 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 2.36 | $0.840 | $1.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.850 | $1.01 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.996 | $3.63 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.980 | $1.07 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 2.42 | $0.999 | $2.42 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 3.64 | $0.999 | $3.64 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.989 | $1.07 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.985 | $1.07 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.985 | $1.58 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 4.95 | $0.985 | $4.88 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.985 | $1.07 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.985 | $1.07 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.984 | $1.07 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.984 | $5.4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 11.04 | $0.985 | $10.87 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 27.02 | $0.985 | $26.61 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.985 | $1.07 | Apr 7, 2026 |