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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.310 | $34.2 | +$21.8 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 45.34 | $0.570 | $25.84 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 27.1 |
| $0.876 |
| $26.64 |
| +$2.88 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 137.16 | $0.297 | $19.89 | -$20.87 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 17.36 | $0.950 | $17 | +$0.51 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.6 | $0.920 | $11.34 | +$0.67 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 125.62 | $0.374 | $11.31 | -$35.7 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 360.76 | $0.040 | $10.64 | -$3.74 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 10.02 | $0.628 | $9.37 | +$3.08 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 8.88 | $0.979 | $8.69 | -$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 70.7 | $0.160 | $5.16 | -$6.15 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.33 | $0.435 | $3.22 | -$3.01 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 12.96 | $0.320 | $3.11 | -$1.04 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 2.16 | $0.680 | $2.02 | +$0.55 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.160 | $1.8 | -$1.4 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 15.01 | $0.320 | $1.58 | -$3.23 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 70.39 | $0.037 | $1.44 | -$1.16 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.770 | $1.41 | -$3.21 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 7.19 | $0.280 | $0.32 | -$1.69 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 0.93 | $0.480 | $0.14 | -$0.31 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 168.66 | $0.353 | $0.08 | -$59.52 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.53 | $0.400 | $0.08 | -$0.93 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.070 | $0.06 | -$0.19 |
| sell |
| 33.67 |
| $0.940 |
| $31.65 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 81.13 | $0.560 | $45.43 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 7.98 | $0.925 | $7.38 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 15.92 | $0.986 | $15.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 209.22 | $0.998 | $208.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 60.01 | $0.899 | $53.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 32 | $0.958 | $30.66 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 40.83 | $0.930 | $37.97 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 64.44 | $0.966 | $62.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 627.3 | $0.860 | $539.48 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.830 | $1.57K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 23.88 | $0.997 | $23.81 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 74.54 | $0.998 | $74.39 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 687.92 | $0.999 | $687.23 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 690.22 | $0.996 | $687.46 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 162.45 | $0.917 | $149.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.056 | $11.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.090 | $5.4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.360 | $28.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 444.44 | $0.120 | $53.33 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.976 | $78.08 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 177.31 | $0.977 | $173.15 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | May 28, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.410 | $0.36 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.410 | $0.16 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.410 | $0.02 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.410 | $0.1 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.410 | $0.1 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.95 | $0.410 | $0.8 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.420 | $0.41 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.420 | $0.17 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.420 | $0.27 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.420 | $0.09 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.420 | $0.02 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.420 | $0.08 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.420 | $0.21 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.420 | $0.02 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.420 | $0.02 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 9.56 | $0.420 | $4.02 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.420 | $0.15 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.420 | $0.11 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.420 | $0.11 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.420 | $0.02 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.420 | $0.11 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.43 | $0.420 | $0.18 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.420 | $0.03 | May 28, 2026 |