Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | No | 26.12 | $0.957 | $25.4 | +$0.4 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.969 | $11 | May 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 15.48 |
| $0.840 |
| $14.47 |
| +$1.47 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 12.79 | $0.938 | $12.34 | +$0.34 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6.1 | +$0.1 |
| buy |
| 13.1 |
| $0.840 |
| $11 |
| May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.960 | $8 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?No | buy | 16.7 | $0.958 | $16 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 28?No | buy | 25.02 | $0.999 | $25 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No | buy | 26.12 | $0.957 | $25 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Weed rescheduled by June 30?No | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.920 | $4.97 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 65.7 | $0.989 | $64.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-16?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam DraxlCristian Garin | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 18.47 | $0.909 | $16.79 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.970 | $1.94 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 18.48 | $0.920 | $17 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 52.2 | $0.991 | $51.73 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 65.71 | $0.990 | $65.05 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.938 | $12 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 13.53 | $0.961 | $13 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 15.48 | $0.840 | $13 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.960 | $15 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 52.21 | $0.996 | $52 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 20.55 | $0.980 | $20.14 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 60.24 | $0.995 | $59.94 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.973 | $20 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.996 | $60 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?No | buy | 116.6 | $0.991 | $115.55 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 US bank failure by September 30?No | buy | 54.49 | $0.995 | $54.21 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Polish strike on Russia by September 30?No | buy | 61.06 | $0.999 | $61 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.951 | $10 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | sell | 57.37 | $0.680 | $39.01 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 28.38 | $0.740 | $21 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will The New York Times update its privacy policy before July?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win Brooklyn in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.907 | $11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will "F1" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.870 | $8 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 29 at 5 PM ET?No | buy | 2.29K | $0.999 | $2.29K | May 29, 2025 |
 Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.982 | $4 | May 12, 2025 |