Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.61 | $0.955 | $0.6 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.912 | $28.27 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 28 |
| $0.910 |
| $25.48 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.910 | $25.48 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.830 | $26.56 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.885 | $27.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.885 | $27.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.820 | $29.52 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.460 | $6.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 43 | $0.690 | $29.67 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 43 | $0.690 | $29.67 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.967 | $27.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.861 | $14.64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.862 | $14.65 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.985 | $26.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 26 | $0.440 | $11.44 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 26 | $0.450 | $11.7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.984 | $29.52 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 30 | $0.982 | $29.46 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.680 | $12.24 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 32 | $0.955 | $30.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.960 | $27.84 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.300 | $11.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.986 | $27.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.021 | $1.66 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.380 | $28.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.470 | $35.25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.773 | $24.74 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.981 | $35.32 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.025 | $2.13 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.958 | $38.32 | May 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.014 | $1.16 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.787 | $33.05 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.968 | $0.97 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 16 | $0.959 | $15.34 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 34 | $0.958 | $32.57 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 23.39 | $0.961 | $22.48 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 38 | $0.960 | $36.48 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.017 | $0.87 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.882 | $38.81 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.015 | $1.16 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.015 | $1.16 | May 20, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.989 | $38.57 | May 19, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.986 | $38.45 | May 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 41 | $0.953 | $39.07 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.939 | $34.74 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.944 | $34.93 | May 18, 2026 |