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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 4K | $0.420 | $3.42K | +$1.74K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 152.16 | $0.690 | $104.99 | 27d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 20K |
| $0.041 |
| $1.13K |
| +$310.14 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.650 | $1.05K | -$250 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.020 | $160 | -$40 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Yes | 155.06 | $0.690 | $124.82 | +$17.83 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20K | $0.010 | $110 | -$90 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40K | $0.008 | $100 | -$219.98 |
| buy |
| 2.9 |
| $0.690 |
| $2 |
| 27d ago |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.042 | $86.73 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 804.93 | $0.670 | $539.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.008 | $160 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 4K | $0.843 | $3.37K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.008 | $160 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.650 | $48.75 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.732 | $1.46K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 3K | $0.810 | $2.43K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 591.28 | $0.820 | $484.85 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.730 | $5.84 | May 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 242.76 | $0.811 | $196.79 | May 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.76K | $0.740 | $5K | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 3.79K | $0.740 | $2.81K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 2K | $0.037 | $74 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1K | $0.710 | $710 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 600 | $0.810 | $486 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 610.3 | $0.680 | $415 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.200 | $80 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1K | $0.620 | $620 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 2K | $0.057 | $114 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 500 | $0.830 | $415 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.260 | $104 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.120 | $108 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.260 | $260 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 700 | $0.740 | $518 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.410 | $205 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.460 | $230 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.410 | $82 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?Yes | buy | 107.92 | $0.037 | $3.99 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.080 | $8.72 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.300 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $140 in June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.891 | $89.1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in June?Yes | buy | 38.42 | $0.895 | $34.39 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.896 | $89.6 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes | buy | 582 | $0.570 | $331.74 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.44K | $0.407 | $1.4K | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.260 | $350 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 559.61 | $0.460 | $257.42 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 234.87 | $0.426 | $100 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Yes | buy | 173.14 | $0.578 | $100 | Dec 23, 2024 |