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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.560 | $4.69 | -$0.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.56 | $0.398 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 22.73 |
| $0.220 |
| $4.47 |
| -$0.53 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3.5 | +$0.5 |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.480 | $2.98 | -$0.03 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.99 | $0.273 | $1.59 | -$1.41 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 8.57 | $0.350 | $1.16 | -$1.84 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.240 | $0.81 | -$2.19 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.260 | $0.54 | -$1.46 |
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.480 |
| $3 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.273 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 26.78 | $0.988 | $26.46 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.627 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp | sell | 2.14 | $0.999 | $2.14 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will TikTok be banned in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.36 | $0.110 | $1.8 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No | buy | 20.48 | $0.630 | $12.9 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 GPT ads by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.120 | $2.5 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?Yes | buy | 14.27 | $0.266 | $3.8 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | buy | 15.14 | $0.740 | $11.2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.260 | $15 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.070 | $4 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | May 14, 2025 |
 US-Saudi Arabia nuclear deal before July?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?Yes | buy | 18.56 | $0.054 | $1 | May 14, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | May 14, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | May 14, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?Yes | buy | 20.13 | $0.149 | $3 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?Yes | buy | 27.47 | $0.073 | $2 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.148 | $4 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Buffett say "Trump" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.992 | $8.12 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will another driver win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 37.81 | $0.026 | $1 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Apr 12, 2025 |