Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 18.68 | $0.995 | $18.68 | +$0.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.27 |
| $0.963 |
| $7.22 |
| +$0.22 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4.79 | +$0.79 |
| buy |
| 10.03 |
| $0.997 |
| $10 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by April 30?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 8.32 | $0.962 | $8 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on April 27?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.979 | $10.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 36.25 | $0.993 | $36 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.958 | $4.43 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.979 | $7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.975 | $1.98 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 70 and 80?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.963 | $7 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 15.04 | $0.877 | $13.19 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.47 | $0.950 | $9 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?No | buy | 9.47 | $0.950 | $9 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 16.49 | $0.728 | $12 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.864 | $13 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0% and 0.5%?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,250,000 and 14,500,000?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 54.93 | $0.995 | $54.66 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 17.19 | $0.989 | $17 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.75 | $0.964 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 14.3 | $0.998 | $14.27 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?No | buy | 29.2 | $0.993 | $29 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 22.11 | $0.995 | $22 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?No | buy | 28.11 | $0.996 | $28 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 53.15 | $0.989 | $52.57 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 "Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Drake release an album by August 15?No | buy | 13.1 | $0.992 | $13 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 88°F or higher on August 14?No | buy | 31.03 | $0.999 | $31 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Irfaan Ali win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?No | sell | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 30 and 40 million views the first week?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.073 | $1.47 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 40 and 50 million views the first week?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 40 and 50 million views the first week?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 NDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Ken Paxton out out as Texas Attorney General by July 31?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Yes | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 103.31 | $0.997 | $103 | Jun 30, 2025 |