Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August? | No | 12.81 | $0.999 | $12.81 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.999 | $12.8 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 422.5 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.63 |
| -$1.06 |
| buy |
| 12.81 |
| $0.999 |
| $12.8 |
| 23d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 422.5 | $0.004 | $1.69 | 23d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 7?No | buy | 14.61 | $0.999 | $14.6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15?Yes | buy | 82.57 | $0.998 | $82.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 82.08 | $0.999 | $82 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 82.38 | $0.999 | $82.3 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | buy | 82.28 | $0.999 | $82.2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 82.18 | $0.999 | $82.1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?Yes | buy | 82.08 | $0.999 | $82 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 82.07 | $0.999 | $81.99 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 81.98 | $0.999 | $81.9 | May 8, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 81.88 | $0.999 | $81.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.002 | $2.1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?Yes | buy | 84.02 | $0.999 | $83.94 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No | buy | 83.94 | $0.999 | $83.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?No | buy | 83.86 | $0.999 | $83.78 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 8?No | buy | 83.79 | $0.999 | $83.71 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No | buy | 83.71 | $0.999 | $83.63 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 83.63 | $0.999 | $83.55 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 83.56 | $0.998 | $83.39 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 9?No | buy | 83.38 | $0.999 | $83.28 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 4?No | buy | 83.28 | $0.999 | $83.2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 83.2 | $0.999 | $83.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 9?No | buy | 82.08 | $0.999 | $82 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 83.04 | $0.998 | $82.87 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 13?Yes | buy | 82.86 | $0.999 | $82.78 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 7?Yes | buy | 82.78 | $0.999 | $82.7 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 1?Yes | buy | 80.17 | $0.999 | $80.09 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 77.53 | $0.999 | $77.45 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 19?No | buy | 77.08 | $0.999 | $77 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.998 | $50 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.999 | $1.32 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out in 2025?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.998 | $1.31 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.995 | $1.21 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?No | buy | 75.08 | $0.999 | $75 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 27?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.999 | $18 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $190 on November 19?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.998 | $20.24 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 7?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 22.24 | $0.999 | $22.22 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 22.21 | $0.998 | $22.17 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |