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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | 11d ago |
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| sell |
| 1.2 |
| $0.890 |
| $1.07 |
| 11d ago |
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 10.43 | $0.994 | $10.37 | 11d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 11d ago |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | 11d ago |
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 11d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.962 | $28.86 | 11d ago |
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 11d ago |
Clavicular sentenced to prison?No | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | 11d ago |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.964 | $86.76 | 11d ago |
New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 171.55 | $0.940 | $161.26 | 11d ago |
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | May 30, 2026 |
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 400 | $0.520 | $208 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | May 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?No | sell | 102.43 | $0.330 | $33.8 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?No | sell | 8 | $0.340 | $2.72 | May 15, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?No | sell | 8.24 | $0.431 | $3.55 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?No | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | May 15, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?No | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | May 12, 2026 |
New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 52.8 | $0.840 | $44.35 | May 10, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 8?Yes | buy | 27.37 | $0.980 | $26.82 | May 7, 2026 |
New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | May 7, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | May 6, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | May 6, 2026 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 27.76 | $0.870 | $24.15 | May 3, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.930 | $9.25 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?No | buy | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?No | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 27.76 | $0.770 | $21.38 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Trump say "King Charles" this week? (April 12)No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Clavicular sentenced to prison?No | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Karoline Leavitt be 25 or more minutes late to the next press briefing?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 15 and 20 minutes late to the next press briefing?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 20 and 25 minutes late to the next press briefing?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETUp | buy | 5.5 | $0.180 | $0.99 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Memphis Roundtable?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Memphis Roundtable?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Ball" 10+ times during trophy presentation?No | buy | 410 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Easter" in March?No | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during trophy presentation?No | buy | 91.91 | $0.050 | $4.6 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Easter" in March?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Easter" in March?No | buy | 43.91 | $0.340 | $14.93 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Rebuild" during trophy presentation?No | buy | 7 | $0.750 | $5.25 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Messi" or "Ronaldo" during trophy presentation?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.600 | $8 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Fight Fight Fight" during trophy presentation?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |