Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 304.65 | $0.328 | $15.23 | -$84.77 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 107.14 |
| $0.280 |
| $30 |
| May 4, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.35 | $0.058 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 19.68 | $0.273 | $5.37 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 22.03 | $0.390 | $8.59 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 22.03 | $0.454 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.59 | $0.670 | $14.47 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.463 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.860 | $14.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 5.4 | $0.690 | $3.73 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 19.69 | $0.254 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.003 | $0.07 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.82 | $0.900 | $7.94 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.930 | $1.4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.600 | $1.05 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.250 | $1.85 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |