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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.270 | $72.22 | +$42.22 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 118.89 | $0.350 | $41.61 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 58.67 |
| $0.750 |
| $49.95 |
| +$5.95 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 139.35 | $0.386 | $28.01 | -$25.81 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15.58 | $0.830 | $12.46 | -$0.47 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 47.23 | $0.212 | $4.01 | -$5.99 |
| buy |
| 15.58 |
| $0.830 |
| $12.93 |
| 7d ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes | buy | 58.67 | $0.750 | $44 | 9d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | sell | 71.82 | $0.633 | $45.49 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 71.82 | $0.733 | $52.66 | 10d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 87.71 | $0.550 | $48.24 | 10d ago |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | sell | 48.51 | $0.079 | $3.81 | 10d ago |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.270 | $30 | 16d ago |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | 16d ago |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?Yes | sell | 45.43 | $0.150 | $6.81 | 16d ago |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 54.05 | $0.730 | $39.46 | 16d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 118.89 | $0.380 | $45.18 | 18d ago |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.740 | $40 | 18d ago |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 48.51 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.43 | $0.220 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 47.23 | $0.212 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 129.35 | $0.387 | $50 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.382 | $3.82 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?Yes | buy | 37.58 | $0.266 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 385.39 | $0.026 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 78.94 | $0.274 | $21.61 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 100.23 | $0.980 | $98.25 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.133 | $15.46 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.086 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.253 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US bank failure by October 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.050 | $2.08 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 51.2 | $0.050 | $2.56 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| US bank failure by October 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 100.24 | $0.499 | $50 | Oct 18, 2025 |