Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 528.62 | $0.929 | $505.09 | +$14.09 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 52.46 | $0.953 | $50 | 27d ago |
 |
| No |
| 510.34 |
| $0.878 |
| $494.78 |
| +$46.78 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 438.23 | $0.913 | $435.38 | +$35.38 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 457.55 | $0.765 | $423.23 | +$73.23 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 410.86 | $0.900 | $388.26 | +$18.26 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 364.08 | $0.961 | $362.26 | +$12.26 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 315.79 | $0.950 | $305.84 | +$5.84 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 305.19 | $0.983 | $304.12 | +$4.12 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 239.35 | $0.919 | $230.13 | +$10.13 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 227.27 | $0.880 | $210.23 | +$10.23 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 217.39 | $0.920 | $207.61 | +$7.61 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 213.29 | $0.938 | $206.78 | +$6.78 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 206.61 | $0.968 | $205.37 | +$5.37 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 215.05 | $0.930 | $203.23 | +$3.23 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 212.77 | $0.940 | $198.94 | -$1.06 |
| buy |
| 53.19 |
| $0.940 |
| $50 |
| 27d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 305.19 | $0.983 | $300 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 54.07 | $0.925 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 206.61 | $0.968 | $200 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 52.74 | $0.948 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 337.07 | $0.260 | $87.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 337.08 | $0.890 | $300 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 377.83 | $0.794 | $300 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 103.52 | $0.966 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 52.91 | $0.945 | $50 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 274.64 | $0.658 | $180.71 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 140.85 | $0.480 | $67.61 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 322.58 | $0.080 | $25.81 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 310.49 | $0.098 | $30.42 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 105.93 | $0.944 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 153.53 | $0.977 | $150 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 201.26 | $0.994 | $200 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 101.45 | $0.986 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 54.41 | $0.919 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 206.82 | $0.998 | $206.41 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 310.5 | $0.966 | $300 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.930 | $300 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 53.65 | $0.932 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 52.19 | $0.958 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.967 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 165 | $0.909 | $150 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.967 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | sell | 104.14 | $0.922 | $96.03 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 119.04 | $0.993 | $118.21 | May 26, 2026 |
 Jimmy Lai released by June 30?No | buy | 202.53 | $0.988 | $200 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | buy | 107.71 | $0.928 | $100 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 203.05 | $0.985 | $200 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 174.42 | $0.860 | $150 | May 15, 2026 |