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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.21 | $0.950 | $3.95 | -$0.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 28.46 |
| $0.480 |
| $13.66 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 9.07 | $0.992 | $9 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Lee Zeldin be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in June?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.995 | $5.7 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.982 | $6 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.995 | $1.24 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.970 | $2.18 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.993 | $5.2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.984 | $6.3 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.982 | $4 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.927 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 30-40% on the EU by June 30?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 17.61 | $0.998 | $17.57 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 3-Jan 10?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.995 | $3.2 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.879 | $1.4 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.989 | $1.22 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.953 | $1.35 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.870 | $1.8 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.974 | $3.2 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.988 | $4.5 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.989 | $3.89 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.992 | $1.35 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.893 | $1.23 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.998 | $1.28 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.998 | $1.28 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.678 | $1.42 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.977 | $1.18 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.897 | $1.24 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.998 | $1.18 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.999 | $1.8 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.11 | $0.999 | $2.11 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.999 | $2.3 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 450.64 | $0.998 | $449.74 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 4.04K | $0.996 | $4.02K | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 450.64 | $0.999 | $450.19 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 452 | $0.996 | $450.19 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.999 | $1.8 | Oct 14, 2024 |