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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 229 | $0.876 | $224.76 | +$24.16 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.974 | $48.7 | 28d ago |
 |
| No |
| 205 |
| $0.850 |
| $198.54 |
| +$24.29 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 116.33 | $0.869 | $109.87 | +$8.79 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 108 | $0.931 | $105.78 | +$5.24 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 105 | $0.570 | $96.08 | +$36.23 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.060 | $65 | +$5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 57 | $0.880 | $49.31 | -$0.85 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 56.75 | $0.461 | $41.14 | +$15 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | $0.172 | $22.05 | -$29.55 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 129.14 | $0.393 | $13.75 | -$37.05 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.960 | $4.56 | -$0.24 |
 Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.310 | $4.45 | +$2.9 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 110 | $0.459 | $2.48 | -$47.96 |
| Will Hudson Williams be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | No | 1.47 | $0.320 | $1.37 | +$0.9 |
| buy |
| 57 |
| $0.880 |
| $50.16 |
| 28d ago |
 Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.380 | $20.14 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?No | sell | 44.9 | $0.670 | $30.08 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.950 | $7.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?No | sell | 56.31 | $0.650 | $36.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 157.68 | $0.200 | $31.54 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.230 | $3.45 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 32.6 | $0.260 | $8.48 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?No | buy | 126.43 | $0.658 | $83.15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.210 | $105 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.690 | $4.17 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.820 | $100.86 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No | buy | 44.15 | $0.400 | $17.66 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 229 | $0.876 | $200.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 289.27 | $0.010 | $2.89 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 152 | $0.650 | $98.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 14.98 | $0.989 | $14.82 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.660 | $100.32 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.930 | $62.31 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.920 | $50.6 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?No | buy | 65 | $0.790 | $51.35 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31No | buy | 32.31 | $0.700 | $22.62 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 110 | $0.459 | $50.44 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.944 | $16.05 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.172 | $17.2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.172 | $17.2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.172 | $17.2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.589 | $11.78 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | sell | 5.84 | $0.050 | $0.29 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.113 | $2.26 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 137 | $0.730 | $100.01 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.830 | $50.63 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.860 | $100.62 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No | buy | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 112 | $0.890 | $99.68 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.994 | $198.8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No | buy | 141 | $0.710 | $100.11 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 86.28 | $0.997 | $86.02 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 57.42 | $0.961 | $55.15 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 18.87 | $0.972 | $18.35 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?No | sell | 101 | $0.176 | $17.73 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes | sell | 3.86 | $0.316 | $1.22 | Dec 5, 2025 |