Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran before August?No | buy | 4.59 | $0.989 | $4.54 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.33 |
| $0.799 |
| $3.46 |
| Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 20–22 executive orders in July?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.999 | $2.87 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.980 | $1.08 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy impeached before July?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Logan and Jake Paul fight before June?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.996 | $1.35 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.999 | $1.41 | May 30, 2025 |
 House passes bill banning Chinese student visas before June?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.998 | $1.99 | May 30, 2025 |
 India-Pakistan declare war before June?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.999 | $1.11 | May 30, 2025 |
 Megaquake in May?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.999 | $1.97 | May 30, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.996 | $1.27 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.997 | $1.52 | May 30, 2025 |
 Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.997 | $1.67 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 323.49 | $0.993 | $321.31 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 323.49 | $0.996 | $322.2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 365.75 | $0.997 | $364.65 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 365.75 | $0.998 | $365.02 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 398.44 | $0.998 | $397.64 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 398.45 | $0.999 | $398.05 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Esteban Ocon finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 419.55 | $0.990 | $415.38 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Esteban Ocon finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 419.56 | $0.997 | $418.27 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 419.56 | $0.995 | $417.46 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 419.57 | $0.996 | $417.89 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 477.62 | $0.992 | $473.8 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 477.62 | $0.993 | $474.28 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 381.9 | $0.996 | $380.37 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 381.89 | $0.998 | $381.13 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?No | sell | 419.89 | $0.998 | $419.05 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 419.9 | $0.999 | $419.48 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 318.31 | $0.982 | $312.46 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 318.32 | $0.985 | $313.58 | May 17, 2025 |
 US defaults on debt in 2025?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.950 | $1.49 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 308.09 | $0.992 | $305.63 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 308.1 | $0.993 | $305.94 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Jack Doohan finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 375.69 | $0.990 | $371.94 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Jack Doohan finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 375.7 | $0.999 | $375.32 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 355.35 | $0.992 | $352.51 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 355.36 | $0.993 | $352.87 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 342.25 | $0.996 | $340.88 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 342.26 | $0.997 | $341.23 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 353.96 | $0.997 | $352.9 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 353.97 | $0.998 | $353.26 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.08-1.12ºC in April 2025?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.997 | $1.38 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.930 | $1.06 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.930 | $1.65 | May 1, 2025 |
| US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.960 | $1.51 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.930 | $1.97 | May 1, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in April?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.999 | $1.37 | May 1, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.999 | $1.59 | May 1, 2025 |