Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 8.4 | $0.300 | $7.77 | +$5.25 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.6 |
| $0.770 |
| $7.56 |
| +$1.71 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 7.59 | $0.810 | $6.19 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.26 | $0.720 | $5.91 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.52 | $0.440 | $5.21 | +$0.58 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 6.32 | $0.790 | $4.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.390 | $3.11 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.09 | $0.550 | $2.83 | +$0.03 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27.27 | $0.220 | $1.77 | -$4.23 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.210 | $1.02 | -$0.45 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.84 | -$0.48 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.33 | -$1.17 |
| buy |
| 6.5 |
| $0.260 |
| $1.69 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?No | buy | 7 | $0.370 | $2.59 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.830 | $5.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.270 | $2.16 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.220 | $6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.450 | $3.96 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.711 | $5.04 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.290 | $2.32 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Steve Jurvetson be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.770 | $5.85 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.230 | $2.33 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 8.4 | $0.300 | $2.52 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 8 | $0.280 | $2.24 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.770 | $5.85 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.180 | $1.32 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?Yes | buy | 7.84 | $0.134 | $1.05 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.340 | $2.89 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.810 | $6.15 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.550 | $2.8 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $112 Week of May 11 2026?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.560 | $3.42 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.760 | $5.39 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.310 | $2.66 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.440 | $4.63 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.250 | $1.97 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.970 | $7.02 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.240 | $1.56 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.770 | $5.89 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.400 | $3.12 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.260 | $2.11 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 8.44 | $0.750 | $6.33 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 21?Up | buy | 8.7 | $0.670 | $5.83 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 7.52 | $0.780 | $5.87 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.350 | $4.04 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.230 | $1.47 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 8.69 | $0.320 | $2.78 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.230 | $1.77 | Apr 8, 2026 |