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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 37.83 | $0.610 | $23.08 | May 14, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 17.48 |
| $0.760 |
| $13.28 |
| May 14, 2026 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 37.83 | $0.529 | $20 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.48 | $0.572 | $10 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will there be at least 400 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 50.31 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 24.14 | $0.380 | $9.17 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 10 | $0.789 | $7.89 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?Yes | buy | 8.76 | $0.971 | $8.51 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown | sell | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.998 | $11.88 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.394 | $0.4 | Jan 1, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?Yes | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 11.12 | $0.888 | $9.87 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.011 | $0.85 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2025?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 27?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.907 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.670 | $9 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?Yes | buy | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |