Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 83.42 | $0.987 | $82.34 | 13d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 82.34 |
| $0.985 |
| $81.1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | buy | 81.1 | $0.985 | $79.88 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 79.26 | $0.929 | $73.63 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 77.52 | $0.958 | $74.26 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 77.52 | $0.964 | $74.73 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 74.73 | $0.960 | $71.74 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 93.16 | $0.770 | $71.73 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 93.16 | $0.920 | $85.71 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 85.68 | $0.930 | $79.65 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 80.41 | $0.991 | $79.69 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 80.41 | $0.988 | $79.45 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 79.44 | $0.975 | $77.45 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 58.86 | $0.912 | $53.68 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 18.54 | $0.911 | $16.89 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?No | buy | 70.63 | $0.999 | $70.56 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 72.36 | $0.975 | $70.55 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 72.36 | $0.939 | $67.94 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 67.95 | $0.993 | $67.47 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No | buy | 67.47 | $0.998 | $67.34 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 32.74 | $0.984 | $32.22 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 36.32 | $0.887 | $32.22 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 36.32 | $0.953 | $34.61 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $175 in September?No | buy | 67.86 | $0.947 | $64.26 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 64.26 | $0.997 | $64.07 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?Yes | buy | 64.07 | $0.980 | $62.79 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 69.31 | $0.906 | $62.79 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 122.38 | $0.986 | $120.67 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 57.38 | $0.837 | $48.03 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.800 | $52 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 100.03 | $0.998 | $99.83 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 103.02 | $0.969 | $99.83 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 103.02 | $0.986 | $101.58 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 486 | $0.920 | $447.12 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 535.08 | $0.940 | $502.97 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.950 | $55.1 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 108.32 | $0.965 | $104.53 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Jalen Hurts win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.001 | $1.06 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.984 | $103.32 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.963 | $101.12 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 >50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will New Hampshire be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |