Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 11 | $0.490 | $10.18 | +$4.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 19.62 | $0.270 | $5.3 | 18d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 19.46 |
| $0.271 |
| $10.03 |
| +$4.76 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 18.69 | $0.480 | $8.69 | -$0.28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.01 | $0.219 | $8.67 | +$3.42 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 8.51 | $0.660 | $7.11 | +$1.49 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 44.04 | $0.200 | $5.51 | -$3.3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 29.13 | $0.180 | $4.52 | -$0.73 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 18.1 | $0.440 | $4.25 | -$3.71 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 72.71 | $0.150 | $4 | -$6.91 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 24.26 | $0.230 | $3.52 | -$2.06 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.300 | $1.33 | -$0.18 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 16.44 | $0.319 | $1.32 | -$3.92 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 66.9 | $0.120 | $1.2 | -$6.82 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 28.84 | $0.300 | $0.26 | -$8.39 |
| sell |
| 8.58 |
| $0.620 |
| $5.32 |
| 18d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.490 | $5.1 | 18d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.51 | $0.500 | $5.26 | 18d ago |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 11.43 | $0.500 | $5.72 | 18d ago |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.690 | $6.38 | 18d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 17.1 | $0.170 | $2.91 | 18d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 19.76 | $0.370 | $7.31 | 18d ago |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 12.16 | $0.465 | $5.65 | 27d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.44 | $0.319 | $5.24 | 27d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.340 | $1.82 | 28d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.39 | $0.290 | $5.04 | 28d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.4 | $0.300 | $5.22 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.610 | $5.23 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 22.65 | $0.220 | $4.98 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 22.65 | $0.230 | $5.21 | 28d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.310 | $1.66 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.01 | $0.219 | $5.25 | 28d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.500 | $5.21 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 9.47 | $0.550 | $5.21 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 9.47 | $0.560 | $5.3 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.39 | $0.590 | $4.95 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.39 | $0.620 | $5.2 | 29d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.390 | $5.41 | 29d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.58 | $0.400 | $6.23 | 29d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 25.9 | $0.230 | $5.96 | 29d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.21 | $0.570 | $5.25 | 29d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.579 | $5.33 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.14 | $0.730 | $6.67 | 29d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.13 | $0.180 | $5.24 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 8.17 | $0.650 | $5.31 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 9.92 | $0.526 | $5.22 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 9.92 | $0.537 | $5.33 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.430 | $5.27 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 28.31 | $0.180 | $5.1 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.31 | $0.190 | $5.38 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 8.46 | $0.890 | $7.53 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10.35 | $0.570 | $5.9 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.510 | $5.36 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.470 | $5.37 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.68 | $0.580 | $5.61 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.580 | $5.36 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 31.66 | $0.176 | $5.57 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.740 | $6.98 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.490 | $5.39 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.53 | $0.590 | $5.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.54 | $0.620 | $5.29 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 8.46 | $0.624 | $5.28 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 19.46 | $0.271 | $5.27 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.439 | $5.29 | Aug 9, 2026 |