Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 7.76 |
| $0.169 |
| $1.31 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Messi" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No | sell | 5.7 | $0.120 | $0.68 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?Yes | sell | 77.08 | $0.190 | $14.65 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?Yes | sell | 22.92 | $0.200 | $4.58 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.785 | $39.23 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | sell | 1 | $0.840 | $0.84 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 1 | $0.840 | $0.84 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?No | sell | 45 | $0.130 | $5.85 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?No | sell | 41.24 | $0.390 | $16.08 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 27?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.010 | $1.01 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.017 | $8.32 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Yes | sell | 91.93 | $0.110 | $10.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Yes | sell | 160.1 | $0.110 | $17.61 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?No | sell | 30.59 | $0.798 | $24.41 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?No | sell | 30.63 | $0.798 | $24.44 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No | sell | 4 | $0.270 | $1.08 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No | sell | 96 | $0.310 | $29.76 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.800 | $192 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?No | sell | 45.59 | $0.800 | $36.47 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 22?No | sell | 18.59 | $0.820 | $15.24 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.144 | $0.99 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.145 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Belgium leading at halftime?No | buy | 28.8 | $0.500 | $14.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 38.41 | $0.490 | $18.82 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 21.7 | $0.470 | $10.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 56.25 | $0.320 | $18 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?No | sell | 25.68 | $0.790 | $20.29 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?No | sell | 24.32 | $0.793 | $19.28 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.810 | $12.27 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 18?No | sell | 9.1 | $0.885 | $8.06 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Yes | sell | 25.51 | $0.810 | $20.66 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.831 | $116.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.930 | $65.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 66 | $0.830 | $54.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Weverton be in Brazil's Starting 11?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.052 | $2.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.951 | $114.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | sell | 42.5 | $0.740 | $31.45 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.660 | $4.62 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.930 | $65.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.670 | $10.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.725 | $29 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.729 | $33.52 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.720 | $4.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |