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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 119.56 | $0.916 | $111.79 | +$2.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.900 | $40 | 14h ago |
| Yes |
| 146.66 |
| $0.700 |
| $109.26 |
| +$6.61 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 127.59 | $0.823 | $109.09 | +$4.1 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 77.99 | $0.764 | $75.45 | +$15.9 |
 California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition | Yes | 62.5 | $0.792 | $43.13 | -$6.37 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 44.44 | $0.900 | $40.88 | +$0.89 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 122.91 | $0.267 | $31.34 | -$1.44 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 19.02 | $0.847 | $19.01 | +$2.9 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.33 | $0.931 | $4.28 | +$0.25 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 159.33 | $0.120 | $1.75 | -$17.37 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 46.26 | $0.080 | $1.16 | -$2.54 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.540 | $0.19 | -$0.02 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.11 | $0.887 | $0.1 | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No| buy |
| 30.48 |
| $0.820 |
| $24.99 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.720 | $22.5 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 22.62 | $0.993 | $22.46 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60.97 | $0.820 | $50 | 4d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 13.06 | $0.720 | $9.4 | 5d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 76.22 | $0.310 | $23.63 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 62.67 | $0.710 | $44.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 31.93 | $0.650 | $20.75 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 17.52 | $0.967 | $16.94 | 9d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 159.33 | $0.120 | $19.12 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.965 | $28.95 | 10d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | 11d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?No | buy | 222.42 | $0.066 | $14.68 | 11d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 32.47 | $0.250 | $8.12 | 11d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes | buy | 69.64 | $0.448 | $31.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 50.96 | $0.981 | $49.99 | 12d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 51.22 | $0.976 | $49.99 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 55.3 | $0.660 | $36.5 | 12d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 166.66 | $0.270 | $45 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.590 | $14.81 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 53.03 | $0.660 | $35 | 15d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 62.02 | $0.784 | $48.62 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 62.03 | $0.676 | $41.94 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 25.28 | $0.700 | $17.7 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 45.52 | $0.690 | $31.41 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 64.93 | $0.770 | $50 | 18d ago |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.842 | $30.06 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.87 | $0.850 | $17.74 | 19d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 45.97 | $0.450 | $20.69 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 13.74 | $0.900 | $12.37 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.900 | $50 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 25.78 | $0.650 | $16.76 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.47 | $0.910 | $25 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.29 | $0.570 | $16.7 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.77 | $0.900 | $24.99 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 43.85 | $0.570 | $24.99 | 23d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 52.46 | $0.953 | $49.99 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 14.68 | $0.860 | $12.62 | 24d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 55.34 | $0.350 | $19.37 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 31.96 | $0.880 | $28.12 | 24d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | 24d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 51.39 | $0.934 | $48 | 24d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 50.35 | $0.983 | $49.49 | 25d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | 25d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 101.33 | $0.300 | $30.4 | 26d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 53.82 | $0.929 | $50 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.820 | $40 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 60.97 | $0.820 | $50 | Aug 10, 2026 |