Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 23.7 | $0.422 | $3.2 | -$6.8 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 195.05 | $0.026 | $5.05 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 58.72 |
| $0.090 |
| $5.28 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.667 | $1.79 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 29.78 | $0.067 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 17.03 | $0.059 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.360 | $6 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 11.4 | $0.999 | $11.39 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 11.4 | $0.520 | $5.93 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.250 | $6 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.060 | $7.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 256 | $0.034 | $8.7 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.7 | $0.422 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | sell | 31 | $0.020 | $0.62 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 28.68 | $0.030 | $0.86 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp | sell | 2.18 | $0.580 | $1.26 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.09 | $0.440 | $0.92 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | sell | 7.21 | $0.350 | $2.52 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 6.73 | $0.130 | $0.87 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.74 | $0.330 | $0.9 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | sell | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | buy | 2.91 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown | buy | 2.52 | $0.360 | $0.91 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown | buy | 2.34 | $0.390 | $0.91 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 10.84 | $0.080 | $0.87 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | sell | 2.72 | $0.420 | $1.14 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 2.59 | $0.350 | $0.91 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | sell | 2.8 | $0.640 | $1.79 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.66 | $0.340 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 9.66 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 4.42 | $0.200 | $0.88 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 3 | $0.300 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown | buy | 10.84 | $0.080 | $0.87 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | sell | 2.58 | $0.940 | $2.43 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | buy | 2.46 | $0.370 | $0.91 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp | buy | 3.77 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.9K | $0.010 | $19 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | buy | 18.16 | $0.270 | $4.9 | Mar 22, 2026 |