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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 979.65 | $0.147 | $690.65 | +$546.11 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 136.61 | $0.885 | $120.9 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 431.25 |
| $0.282 |
| $226.4 |
| +$104.58 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.240 | $101.67 | +$21.67 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 671.43 | $0.074 | $4.03 | -$45.97 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.240 |
| $80 |
| 13d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 136.61 | $0.873 | $119.26 | 13d ago |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 57.97 | $0.172 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 112.13 | $0.134 | $15 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 679.96 | $0.201 | $136.67 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.034 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 468.75 | $0.032 | $15 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 671.43 | $0.074 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 504.66 | $0.350 | $176.63 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 145.53 | $0.150 | $21.83 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.104 | $22.64 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 502.25 | $0.089 | $44.7 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 562.5 | $0.152 | $85.77 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 562.5 | $0.160 | $90 | May 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 696.19 | $0.111 | $77 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?Yes | buy | 481.11 | $0.066 | $31.66 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.271 | $350 | May 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 273.22 | $0.183 | $50 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.144 | $150 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 338.46 | $0.130 | $44 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 250.42 | $0.240 | $60 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 212.12 | $0.330 | $70 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?No | sell | 33.77 | $0.649 | $21.91 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?No | sell | 31.4 | $0.970 | $30.46 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?No | buy | 31.41 | $0.637 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.444 | $15 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in December?Yes | buy | 106.1 | $0.094 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | buy | 288.73 | $0.114 | $33 | Jan 13, 2026 |