Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.76 | $0.510 | $12.04 | +$5.02 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.310 |
| $9.25 |
| +$6.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.46 | $0.540 | $7.47 | +$0.2 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.65 | $0.570 | $7.31 | +$2.38 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.480 | $6.83 | -$0.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.96 | $0.790 | $6.41 | -$0.67 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.460 | $6.31 | +$0.56 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.200 | $5.8 | -$2.2 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 7.89 | $0.760 | $5.56 | -$0.43 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.15 | $0.610 | $5.34 | +$0.37 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.77 | $0.440 | $4.34 | +$0.48 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 6 | $0.230 | $2.22 | +$0.84 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6.36 | $0.220 | $0.67 | -$0.73 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.39 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.210 |
| $1.26 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?No | buy | 11 | $0.310 | $3.41 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 22 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.660 | $1.98 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 22 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.220 | $1.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.610 | $4.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?Yes | buy | 8.66 | $0.440 | $3.81 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 6.72 | $0.250 | $1.68 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.590 | $6.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.370 | $3.33 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.460 | $5.75 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No | buy | 14.25 | $0.570 | $8.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.550 | $5.04 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.580 | $1.77 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | May 27, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.590 | $7.11 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes | buy | 11.41 | $0.710 | $8.1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.510 | $7.02 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be between -1% and 1%?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | May 13, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.790 | $6.04 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.770 | $5.85 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?Down | buy | 10.15 | $0.680 | $6.9 | May 12, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.330 | $3.63 | May 11, 2026 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?Up | buy | 11.21 | $0.520 | $5.83 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.790 | $7.08 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor SecretaryNo | buy | 7.8 | $0.600 | $4.68 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 11.26 | $0.300 | $3.38 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 7.89 | $0.760 | $6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.800 | $4.92 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.350 | $5.38 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.290 | $3.22 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.410 | $5.47 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.270 | $1.67 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.770 | $7 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.800 | $7.84 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 6 | $0.240 | $1.44 | Apr 20, 2026 |