Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.053 | $1.64 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 14 |
| $0.830 |
| $11.62 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.936 | $36.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.935 | $36.47 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 38 | $0.954 | $36.25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.083 | $1.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.033 | $2.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.939 | $6.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.939 | $20.66 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.953 | $36.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.630 | $10.71 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.620 | $48.98 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.060 | $4.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.933 | $48.52 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.932 | $48.46 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 44 | $0.988 | $43.47 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.018 | $1.08 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.813 | $48.78 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.510 | $43.86 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.380 | $30.78 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.390 | $50.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 4 | $0.986 | $3.94 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 2025 May hottest on record?No | sell | 20 | $0.993 | $19.86 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?No | sell | 15 | $0.986 | $14.79 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.960 | $5.76 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.980 | $14.7 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 4 | $0.981 | $3.92 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 23 | $0.979 | $22.52 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.017 | $0.24 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Starmer out before July?Yes | sell | 35.65 | $0.018 | $0.64 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 25 | $0.964 | $24.09 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Starmer out before July?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.028 | $0.45 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.009 | $0.77 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.991 | $26.76 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.991 | $26.76 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Esteban Ocon finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 13 | $0.995 | $12.94 | May 30, 2025 |
 Megaquake in May?No | sell | 26 | $0.997 | $25.92 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Kwon Yeong-guk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | sell | 27 | $0.960 | $25.92 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Kwon Yeong-guk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 27 | $0.910 | $24.57 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?No | sell | 25 | $0.987 | $24.68 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Fartcoin dip to $0.85 before June?No | sell | 28 | $0.988 | $27.66 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.009 | $0.22 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Fartcoin dip to $0.85 before June?No | buy | 28 | $0.988 | $27.66 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.006 | $0.17 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.008 | $1.15 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 24 | $0.988 | $23.71 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 197 | $0.007 | $1.38 | May 25, 2025 |