Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.81 | $0.160 | $3.81 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.41 |
| $0.925 |
| $5.2 |
| +$0.2 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.06 | +$0.07 |
| sell |
| 27.47 |
| $0.141 |
| $3.87 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 8.77 | $0.740 | $6.49 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.47 | $0.176 | $4.83 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.48 | $0.671 | $7.03 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 13.16 | $0.300 | $3.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.194 | $2.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.87 | $0.580 | $6.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.580 | $6.59 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.42 | $0.107 | $2.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.900 | $6.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.120 | $3.75 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.545 | $3.17 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.650 | $1.33 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.74 | $0.150 | $3.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.210 | $4.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.582 | $3.46 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.997 | $5.47 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.859 | $4.99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.72 | $0.134 | $4.67 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.05 | $0.103 | $4.64 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.87 | $0.530 | $5.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.420 | $4.57 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.42 | $0.440 | $4.58 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.300 | $2.38 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.170 | $7.73 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 23.81 | $0.270 | $6.43 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.470 | $5.34 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 34.72 | $0.116 | $4.02 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.350 | $3.98 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.420 | $4.77 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.410 | $2.53 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.380 | $4.75 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.070 | $2.69 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.110 | $4.23 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.51 | $0.396 | $2.18 | May 31, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 10.87 | $0.340 | $3.7 | May 30, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.170 | $3.86 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.42 | $0.380 | $3.96 | May 26, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 10.64 | $0.340 | $3.62 | May 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.142 | $6.45 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.108 | $4.91 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.391 | $3.91 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | May 23, 2026 |