Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 450 | $0.720 | $442.13 | +$118.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.830 | $124.5 | May 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.840 |
| $346 |
| +$10 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $151.3 | +$5.3 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $147 | +$127 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.310 | $126.25 | +$48.75 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 180 | $0.170 | $9.9 | -$20.7 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.037 | $7.75 | -$10.75 |
| buy |
| 114.06 |
| $0.037 |
| $4.22 |
| May 5, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.170 | $30.6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 400 | $0.840 | $336 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.310 | $77.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.134 | $7.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 450 | $0.720 | $324 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 47.95 | $0.700 | $33.57 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 67.55 | $0.828 | $55.93 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.270 | $108 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 140 | $0.920 | $128.8 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 230 | $0.850 | $195.5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 25K | $0.002 | $50 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 91.74 | $0.218 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.061 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |