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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 34.14 | $0.615 | $15.88 | -$5.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.71 |
| $0.934 |
| $10.38 |
| +$0.38 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.85 | $0.540 | $0.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.044 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 9.71 | $0.103 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 192.31 |
| $0.104 |
| $20 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes | buy | 134.52 | $0.568 | $76.44 | May 19, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 25.67 | $0.610 | $15.66 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?Down | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Meta (META) Up or Down on January 22?Down | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 3.66 | $0.273 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.271 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 72.86 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Jan 22, 2026 |