Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 377.36 | $0.530 | $190.57 | -$9.43 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14K | $0.007 | $50 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 370.37 |
| $0.270 |
| $90.19 |
| -$9.81 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 303.03 | $0.330 | $43.79 | -$56.21 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.200 | $36 | -$64 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 263.16 | $0.380 | $23.68 | -$76.32 |
 Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | Yes | 61.36 | $0.489 | $19.33 | -$10.67 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | Yes | 250.53 | $0.399 | $17.54 | -$82.46 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 250.61 | $0.120 | $13.78 | -$16.22 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 111.88 | $0.089 | $10.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.380 | $1.71 | -$8.29 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | Yes | 117.55 | $0.085 | $1.47 | -$8.53 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | Yes | 119 | $0.084 | $1.37 | -$8.63 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | Yes | 91.11 | $0.110 | $1.23 | -$8.77 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $1.03 | -$8.97 |
 Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.060 | $0.5 | -$9.5 |
| sell |
| 59.52 |
| $0.910 |
| $54.16 |
| May 11, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.37K | $0.093 | $126.7 | May 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 152.66 | $0.655 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 250.53 | $0.399 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 377.36 | $0.530 | $200 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 42.79 | $0.180 | $7.7 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 150 | $0.060 | $9 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 496.8 | $0.320 | $158.86 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 10.49K | $0.883 | $9.27K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 233.32 | $0.190 | $44.33 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 3.01K | $0.717 | $2.16K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.49K | $0.952 | $9.99K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.746 | $2.25K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 212.93 | $0.141 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 143.67 | $0.209 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?Yes | sell | 127.23 | $0.067 | $8.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 416.66 | $0.050 | $20.96 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.073 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in February?No | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 150.37 | $0.310 | $46.61 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 74.07 | $0.984 | $72.88 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 227.35 | $0.001 | $0.23 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | sell | 94.59 | $0.120 | $11.35 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)Yes | buy | 317.25 | $0.032 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 150.37 | $0.333 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.060 | $25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?No | sell | 172.41 | $0.840 | $144.82 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | sell | 555.9 | $0.990 | $550.56 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 233.33 | $0.214 | $50 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 127.23 | $0.393 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 483.77 | $0.041 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?Yes | buy | 245.05 | $0.204 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 227.35 | $0.440 | $100 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | buy | 555.91 | $0.899 | $500 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.160 | $9.41 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.110 | $110 | Jan 22, 2026 |