Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.71 |
| $0.680 |
| $10 |
| May 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.730 | $9.48 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.430 | $7.41 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 15.6 | $0.997 | $15.55 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 14?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.966 | $10.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 13.14 | $0.982 | $12.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 12.84 | $0.779 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 13.14 | $0.761 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 27?No | sell | 588.36 | $0.003 | $1.77 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 27?No | buy | 588.36 | $0.008 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (February 1)No | buy | 11.07 | $0.452 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.740 | $11.93 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.550 | $9.16 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | sell | 14.92 | $0.949 | $14.16 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |