Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.12 | $0.943 | $1.84 | -$0.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.16 |
| +$0.16 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 1.07 |
| $0.936 |
| $1 |
| May 5, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.786 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.882 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.908 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Women's Sports" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.916 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $2.80 in March?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsVitality | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Men's Semifinals - USA vs. SlovakiaUSA | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |