Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | Yes | 8.58 | $0.334 | $2.92 | +$0.05 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.334 | $2.86 | 14h ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.15 |
| $0.400 |
| $2.9 |
| +$0.04 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.89 | $0.490 | $2.86 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 6 | $0.480 | $2.85 | -$0.03 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 7.9 | $0.360 | $2.8 | -$0.04 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 8.58 | $0.330 | $2.7 | -$0.13 |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.59 | -$0.26 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 9.1 | $0.310 | $2.55 | -$0.27 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.460 | $2.53 | -$0.34 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.9 | $0.360 | $2.53 | -$0.32 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 8.83 | $0.320 | $2.43 | -$0.4 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 9.1 | $0.310 | $2.14 | -$0.68 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.9 | $0.360 | $1.78 | -$1.07 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.320 | $1.43 | -$0.18 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.81 | $0.300 | $0.01 | -$0.24 |
| buy |
| 7.9 |
| $0.360 |
| $2.84 |
| 21h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.480 | $2.88 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.490 | $2.89 | 1d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 8.58 | $0.330 | $2.83 | 1d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.89 | $0.470 | $2.77 | 1d ago |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 8.83 | $0.252 | $2.23 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.360 | $2.84 | 1d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.350 | $2.63 | 2d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.560 | $4.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.27 | $0.408 | $2.97 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.83 | $0.320 | $2.83 | 2d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.11 | $0.300 | $2.43 | 2d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.310 | $2.82 | 2d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.310 | $2.82 | 2d ago |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | 2d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.52 | $0.359 | $3.06 | 3d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.280 | $2.55 | 3d ago |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?No | sell | 7.32 | $0.130 | $0.95 | 3d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.390 | $2.85 | 3d ago |
 Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.370 | $2.78 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.400 | $2.86 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.360 | $2.84 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.460 | $2.88 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.490 | $2.89 | 5d ago |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.500 | $2.94 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.39 | $0.420 | $2.68 | 6d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.490 | $2.89 | 6d ago |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 8.83 | $0.319 | $2.82 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | 7d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 8.83 | $0.300 | $2.65 | 7d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | 7d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.27 | $0.393 | $2.86 | 7d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 5.89 | $0.680 | $4.01 | 7d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.350 | $2.84 | 7d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.82 | $0.170 | $1.16 | 7d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.52 | $0.332 | $2.83 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.310 | $2.82 | 8d ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.580 | $5.28 | 8d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.89 | $0.370 | $2.18 | 8d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.83 | $0.320 | $2.83 | 8d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 5.89 | $0.500 | $2.95 | 9d ago |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.83 | $0.240 | $2.12 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.34 | $0.180 | $1.5 | 10d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.16 | $0.407 | $3.32 | 10d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.491 | $2.89 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.450 | $2.88 | 11d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 8.83 | $0.320 | $2.83 | 12d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.420 | $2.86 | 12d ago |