Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 189.56 | $0.091 | $36.68 | +$19.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.905 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.64 |
| $0.470 |
| $9.95 |
| +$4.95 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 9.26 | $0.540 | $9.22 | +$4.22 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.81 | $0.362 | $6.94 | +$1.94 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.91 | $0.850 | $2.89 | +$0.42 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.08 | $0.249 | $2.86 | -$2.14 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $1.06 | -$3.94 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.460 | $0.62 | -$4.38 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 7.24 | $0.691 | $0.53 | -$4.47 |
| buy |
| 13.16 |
| $0.760 |
| $10 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.887 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 14.01 | $0.714 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 6.39 | $0.783 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.08 | $0.249 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 13.81 | $0.362 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.8 | $0.880 | $5.98 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.810 | $19.6 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | sell | 14.24 | $0.068 | $0.96 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | sell | 22.04 | $0.039 | $0.85 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 24.88 | $0.800 | $19.9 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.270 | $2.5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 14.74 | $0.810 | $11.94 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 22.2 | $0.608 | $13.5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 20.16 | $0.740 | $14.92 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 10.19 | $0.470 | $4.79 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No | buy | 6.97 | $0.700 | $4.88 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.016 | $0.11 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 34.72 | $0.330 | $11.46 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 10.93 | $0.910 | $9.95 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?Down | buy | 7.89 | $0.634 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 22.11 | $0.900 | $19.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 3?Up | buy | 6.92 | $0.690 | $4.78 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?Up | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.691 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 11.35 | $0.420 | $4.77 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.690 | $9.7 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.580 | $4.83 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.590 | $4.84 | Apr 3, 2026 |